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Thursday, March 26, 2020

half UK caught COVID-19?

Has half the UK already caught COVID-19? Probably not.

Crowded Oxford Circus Station
Oxford Circus Station in April 2015
(Image: © Shutterstock)
On March 24, a headline in the Financial Times proclaimed that "Coronavirus may have infected half of UK population," suggesting that many people in the region may have already recovered from and developed some immunity to COVID-19.
But is that actually true?
The news article focused on a new study from the University of Oxford, which has not been peer reviewed or published in a scientific journal. The study authors collected available data about deaths tied to the novel coronavirus, called SARS-CoV-2, reported in both the United Kingdom and Italy, and used these numbers to model how the virus might have spread through the U.K. so far. 

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